Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 158.421414 185.705646 218.279144 260.625129 315.118009 3.841786e+02 4.805123e+02
2025-03-02 124.859971 158.295905 203.027719 269.446960 369.750143 5.234920e+02 7.955426e+02
2025-03-09 105.808274 140.625793 190.610189 271.592317 408.431939 6.509552e+02 1.176859e+03
2025-03-16 90.613605 124.374821 175.280319 263.123509 424.775661 7.470327e+02 1.584808e+03
2025-03-23 82.815158 117.218399 171.617209 271.601803 472.737420 9.295787e+02 2.413049e+03
2025-03-30 73.145622 105.558989 158.392049 259.603594 475.932689 1.015588e+03 3.106217e+03
2025-04-06 67.815247 99.993215 154.258575 263.265418 513.587872 1.215399e+03 4.684573e+03
2025-04-13 62.647568 93.980541 148.299174 261.788232 538.908072 1.402270e+03 6.873128e+03
2025-04-20 60.508610 92.769968 150.702147 278.114818 616.160637 1.841854e+03 1.366202e+04
2025-04-27 59.405038 93.173313 156.111917 302.472047 729.114794 2.593467e+03 3.771637e+04
2025-05-04 55.732394 88.525659 150.938893 300.798873 762.828660 3.038534e+03 7.929754e+04
2025-05-11 53.069933 85.452620 148.499205 305.323184 820.607572 3.754363e+03 2.676676e+05
2025-05-18 50.274553 82.287000 146.350900 312.817672 906.232858 5.039453e+03 7.723413e+06
2025-05-25 47.915551 79.769311 145.380776 324.041276 1021.682654 7.268490e+03 NaN
2025-06-01 45.256439 76.334703 141.800239 326.813918 1105.766917 9.911366e+03 NaN
2025-06-08 42.053827 71.484453 134.313118 315.911483 1117.205884 1.174077e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 40.479793 69.773394 133.839497 326.825709 1257.716147 1.860130e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 37.627684 65.162587 125.878276 311.390241 1234.916669 2.092340e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 36.098927 63.182053 124.024281 316.093910 1346.094822 3.266928e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 34.386346 60.660882 120.513861 314.195677 1415.091769 4.772831e+04 NaN
2025-07-13 33.837907 60.577055 123.101548 335.232741 1689.356209 1.326276e+05 NaN
2025-07-20 33.668521 61.296425 127.882490 366.844356 2133.260911 1.046342e+06 NaN
2025-07-27 32.232026 59.065148 124.504368 364.664360 2252.453215 4.961824e+06 NaN